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Toshiba Denies 360 With Built-in HD DVD

Zonk posted more than 6 years ago | from the there-is-usually-fire-where-there-is-smoke dept.

XBox (Games) 50

A few days ago we discussed the possibility of Toshiba working on an Xbox 360 with a built-in HD DVD component and HD tuners. Today, GamesIndustry.biz has word from Toshiba denying that they're working on that unit. "'It's got nothing to do with us,' said a spokesperson to gadget site Stuff. 'But we know Microsoft doesn't want to include the HD DVD so as not to limit the user's experience.' Microsoft currently sells the HD DVD player as a separate peripheral for the Xbox 360, and offers various deals for users who want to upgrade their console to a hi-definition movie player."

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Corporate doublespeak (3, Interesting)

Anonymous Coward | more than 6 years ago | (#21105839)

'But we know Microsoft doesn't want to include the HD DVD so as not to limit the user's experience'
What?

Re:Corporate doublespeak (1)

Ant P. (974313) | more than 6 years ago | (#21106115)

They probably meant they don't want the situation where some games start being released on HD-DVDs.

Re:Corporate doublespeak (1)

springbox (853816) | more than 6 years ago | (#21106351)

They probably don't want users to give up the experience of buying a costly XBOX add on.

Re:Corporate doublespeak (2, Insightful)

davester666 (731373) | more than 6 years ago | (#21106549)

It's very limiting to be able to purchase one device with all the features you want. You don't get the "you also need this add-on" experience... You don't get to experience as much time with the salesman in the store [when they bother spending time with customers]. You miss the "I forgot to buy that part, so I have to go back to the store" experience.

The article doesn't say anything about them being positive experiences...

And even if MS didn't have to digitally sign games for them to work with the XBOX 360, I'm sure they would at least have a software block on running games from an HD DVD.

Re:Corporate doublespeak (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 6 years ago | (#21106865)

You forgot that having to return to the store helps keep those petrol station attendants in work, public transport in business, the lawyers suing the bush administration for greenhouse gas emissions from those two, the police stopping those too eager to get the add-on first, the lumberyards having to produce more paper & card for packaging and most importantly those good americans who kill thousands of bunny rabbits for Steve Balmer (Hes afraid of them).

Microsoft keeps the whole US economy going. If you hate Microsoft then you're just un-american and probably a terrorist.

Re:Corporate doublespeak (1)

davester666 (731373) | more than 6 years ago | (#21107535)

> Microsoft keeps the whole US economy going. If you hate Microsoft then you're just un-american and probably a terrorist.

Probably?

Re:Corporate doublespeak (1)

Walpurgiss (723989) | more than 6 years ago | (#21106577)

Including the HD-DVD drive would also drive the cost of the 360 up, driving up the retail price, and turning off potential purchasers with the new, higher, price tag. They'd rather keep it separate, so the price of the HD-DVD drive doesn't overshadow these potential purchases. That's likely what was meant by limiting the user's experience. To someone who would be buying a 360 either way, it wouldn't limit something. But for someone who didn't have that extra $150 or whatever to spend, having no choice to not get HD-DVD limits their choices.

Re:Corporate doublespeak (1)

Gr8Apes (679165) | more than 6 years ago | (#21107359)

First off, it would probably lower the total cost quite a bit (no extra case, power supply, cabling interfaces for internal to external and back to internal, etc.

But with the failure rate of 360s, it probably would drive MS's cost up significantly to also have to swallow the cost of an HD-DVD drive on each return. (Rumored as high as 1 in 3 of all XBox 360s sold)

Re:Corporate doublespeak (1)

TeraCo (410407) | more than 6 years ago | (#21107813)

So you're using some kind of magical economics system where you can replace a 20 dollar piece of commodity hardware with a 200 dollar HD drive that hasn't even won the standards war yet and then somehow make it cost effective by discarding a few bucks worth of plastic.

The fact is that Sony were dumbasses for trying to force people to buy into the Bluray thing when they just wanted to play games, and Microsoft would be just as retarded for forcing HD-DVD onto us through a gaming console.

Re:Corporate doublespeak (1)

Gr8Apes (679165) | more than 6 years ago | (#21113915)

So you're using some kind of magical economics system where you can replace a 20 dollar piece of commodity hardware with a 200 dollar HD drive that hasn't even won the standards war yet and then somehow make it cost effective by discarding a few bucks worth of plastic.
Magical? Hardly. The unit now costs $179, including some HD-DVD movies. Remove the $20 commodity hardware, replace with the $x (where x = $179 - $20 - profit margin - case - connectors - cabling - power supply - control panel/electronics) So yeah, I'd expect the price to be within $100 of the current unit.

The fact is that Sony were dumbasses for trying to force people to buy into the Bluray thing when they just wanted to play games, and Microsoft would be just as retarded for forcing HD-DVD onto us through a gaming console.
I don't disagree, but you could as easily make the statement they were dumb for trying to force us to use technology 'x' for just playing games. The truth is they were expanding the gaming capability, chose blu-ray as their new vehicle, and priced it accordingly. The fact that others came out with alternatives that were both cheaper (MS & Wii) and more fun (Wii) and are currently kicking their ass in sales even though they're not as technologically advanced in video indicates that perhaps their problems lie not solely with price or the blu-ray technology.

Re:Corporate doublespeak (1)

TeraCo (410407) | more than 6 years ago | (#21126525)

Magical? Hardly. The unit now costs $179, including some HD-DVD movies. Remove the $20 commodity hardware, replace with the $x (where x = $179 - $20 - profit margin - case - connectors - cabling - power supply - control panel/electronics) So yeah, I'd expect the price to be within $100 of the current unit.

And that's 100 dollars for a piece of hardware that is of $0 value to me. I am probably not looking at buying HD movies of either sort for the next 5+ years, and if/when I do get around to watching one it will be on the reasonably good quality dedicated player I've invested in. Microsoft/Sony can shovel their HD boatanchor on their own dime, not mine.

Re:Corporate doublespeak (2, Informative)

donaldm (919619) | more than 6 years ago | (#21110683)

Including the HD-DVD drive would also drive the cost of the 360 up, driving up the retail price, and turning off potential purchasers with the new, higher, price tag. They'd rather keep it separate, so the price of the HD-DVD drive doesn't overshadow these potential purchases. That's likely what was meant by limiting the user's experience. To someone who would be buying a 360 either way, it wouldn't limit something. But for someone who didn't have that extra $150 or whatever to spend, having no choice to not get HD-DVD limits their choices.
You are right about the increased cost but I can't believe Microsoft would be so stupid to make the new Xbox360HD to replace the original Xbox360 so if this was true it would be a optional all-in-one purchase most likely cheaper than an Xbox360 plus a HD-DVD player. In principle this sounds great for the potential Xbox360 purchaser since you don't need a HD-DVD add-on but you have to pay up-front for the privilege.

I think the main question to ask if something like this happens and it has been denied by both parties is "Will games come out on HD-DVD"? If so then I would assume there are going to be over 11 million pissed off Xbox360 owners since games on HD-DVD will discriminate against them because to play HD-DVD games will require an existing Xbox360 owner to purchase a HD-DVD add-on plus (if they don't have one) a hard disk because the read rate of the HD-DVD drive is not going to be as quick as the original DVD drive.

For people interested here is a side by side table comparing Bluray, HD-DVD and DVD http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blu-ray_Disc#Blu-ray_Disc_.2F_HD_DVD_comparison [wikipedia.org] and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HD_DVD#HD_DVD_.2F_Blu-ray_disc_comparison [wikipedia.org] . The comparison tables are identical but I don't want to be accused of favoritism. I leave the reader to draw their own conclusions although in all cases DVD sucks (see video resolution, audio codex, max bit-rates and capacity) in comparison to both HD-DVD and Bluray, still if you have not got a HDTV (at least 26" and up) then DVD is fine.

Re:Corporate doublespeak (1)

MikeBabcock (65886) | more than 6 years ago | (#21115123)

Most important in my mind to gamers:

  • The BD format is 25/50GiB whereas HD-DVD is 15/30GiB (single/dual layer)
  • The BD transfer rate is 53.95Mb/s and the HD-DVD rate is only 36.55Mb/s
  • BD discs have a mandatory hard coating

In terms of watching video, I prefer the BD Java support for extremely interactive content if desired as well.

Re:Corporate doublespeak (1)

Doc Lazarus (1081525) | more than 6 years ago | (#21117341)

Or rather, they don't want to make the mistake Sony made with the PS3 with the economy having trouble. Nobody who makes a realistic amount of money a year is going to blow $600 on a glorified media player/game system. $400 for a gaming system is a big purchase, but at least it's only a video game system which will be around for a few years. Nobody wants to spend the better part of a grand on the next Betamax player that happens to have a few non-exclusive games.

Re:Corporate doublespeak (1)

chrome (3506) | more than 6 years ago | (#21108801)

I suspect it's their get out of gaol free card, you know, if blue-ray wins.

Bwahahahaha.

Re:Corporate doublespeak (1)

iainl (136759) | more than 6 years ago | (#21111059)

There may be more different bundles out there than I care to keep track of, but at heart every 360 off the production line is (bar the case colour) much like every other one, now. The HDMI port is now standard across the range, and all buying a Premium or Elite gets you is a hard drive of some sort bolted on the side.

Changing the actual drive inside the case for one version makes dealing with returns more complex, reduces their argument that should HD-DVD go down the pan and the cost of external BD-ROM drives come down they can sell one of those instead.

But most of all, the HD-DVD drive they use in the add-on has lower performance for both seek speeds and transfer rates than the internal DVD drive, which is why they won't let you use it for games.

Re:Corporate doublespeak (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 6 years ago | (#21115463)

'Cause blu-ray may end up on top, and then the xbox 360 would be limited to playing hd-dvds instead of some sort of dual player?

Great... (0, Redundant)

Elementalor (551544) | more than 6 years ago | (#21105891)

1. Deny the rumors

2. Let people speculate

3. Confirm the rumors and release the gadget

4. ?????

5. Profit...

At least this is what Toshiba and Microsoft would like the story to develop... It's a pity we're talking about Microsoft's Game Division, where profit doesn't seem to be near in any possible future.

Re:Great... (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 6 years ago | (#21106355)

Gee that sounds alot like Apple's tactics...

Re:Great... (1)

Major Blud (789630) | more than 6 years ago | (#21108719)

Shame steps 1 through 5 actually pertain to rumble in the Sixaxis...

In Other News (-1, Offtopic)

Anonymous Coward | more than 6 years ago | (#21105947)

Sony denies that there ever was or will be a price cut on the PS3

Good (4, Insightful)

ADRA (37398) | more than 6 years ago | (#21105987)

I hope this brain child never hits the light of day, at least not for a long time.

Why "Built-in HD-DVD" is dumb
Having built in HD-DVD drive will allow MS to push HD-DVD storage enabled games that utilize the extra capacity. This will piss off all the existing users from playing those games and force them to upgrade their systems. The only saving grace on MS side would be to make it ABSOLUTELY clear that the upgraded HD drive will NEVER be used for game content.

Why "HD tuner" aka QAM is dumb
The HiDef TV market is currently locked into Encrypted QAM in North America and the only way to bypass the "rent/buy box from provider" is to use a cablecard decoder which is very broken and restricted to 'certified' hardware. There may be some channels broadcasted over the air unencrypted but you can be damn sure that all cable companies will switch to encrypted sooner or later, and at their whim. I'll put hd-cable to the same place in my heart as Hidef cable. In the cold. Call me back when there are open(non-private-key-encumbered) pervasive standards to

Re:Good (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 6 years ago | (#21106071)

This will piss off all the existing users from playing those games and force them to upgrade their systems. The only saving grace on MS side would be to make it ABSOLUTELY clear that the upgraded HD drive will NEVER be used for game content.
Aaaaahahaha hahaha hahahahaha.

Whew.

DirectX 10. 'Nuff said.

Re:Good (1, Insightful)

Anonymous Coward | more than 6 years ago | (#21107427)

What the fuck does DX10 have to do with any of this?

Re:Good (1)

DrEldarion (114072) | more than 6 years ago | (#21110303)

It shows that Microsoft has a history of requiring upgrades in order to play new games.

Re:Good (3, Informative)

Jeff DeMaagd (2015) | more than 6 years ago | (#21106155)

I really don't see how any developer would make HD-DVD 360 games because of that very reason. Why cut most of your market out like that? Just take a look at how long it took for a lot of game distributors to standardize on DVD even if the drives were only $10 and you couldn't buy a computer without a DVD drive for years now.

I can't find anything that said that the XBox tuner would be QAM-only. Over the air works just fine and can't legally be encrypted.

"I'll put hd-cable to the same place in my heart as Hidef cable."

I wasn't aware that "hd-cable" was something different from "Hidef cable".

Re:Good (1)

pokerdad (1124121) | more than 6 years ago | (#21106459)

I really don't see how any developer would make HD-DVD 360 games because of that very reason. Why cut most of your market out like that?

While there likely would never be a time that any developer would be willing to cut out 10 million plus users, I do think that if the HD-DVD became standard within the next year that before the end of the gen there would be more HD units than not.

I could see a developer making a game that comes out in two formats, either one HD-DVD or several DVDs.

QAM not as limited as you think (3, Informative)

SuperKendall (25149) | more than 6 years ago | (#21106295)

The HiDef TV market is currently locked into Encrypted QAM in North America and the only way to bypass the "rent/buy box from provider" is to use a cablecard decoder....

Actually, this is not entirely the case - on Comcast I get all basic digital channels, including local HD channels, on clearQAM. It's true more advanced channels or premium HD content require encrypted QAM support.

Also of course, there is over the air HD in a number of markets now...

A built in HD-TV tuner is of more use than you think.

Re:Good (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 6 years ago | (#21107997)

"The only saving grace on MS side would be to make it ABSOLUTELY clear that the upgraded HD drive will NEVER be used for game content."

Or maybe they would force developers to release any HD games in multi-disc DVD format too. With more and more games becoming "pretty movies with a bit of interactive content" it'll probably happen eventually.

or, option 3.. use one of those HD/DVD hybrid formats and let those without HD play with lower quality upscaled graphics.

If theres a way for Microsoft to make money then dont rule it out.

Re:Good (1)

blahplusplus (757119) | more than 6 years ago | (#21109509)

"This will piss off all the existing users from playing those games and force them to upgrade their systems"

Actually it won't, if HD-DVD drives read regular DVD's it will just mean games can ALSO come on HD-DVD instead of just DVD's. It won't force anybody to do anything, just like my DVD rom did not force me to stop game companies from releasing games on CD's for the PC for that god-awful-length-of-time.

Re:Good (1)

G Fab (1142219) | more than 6 years ago | (#21149959)

hd dvd and bluray drivces read dvds, but dvd drives do not read hd dvds. Therefore, the games that could be released on hd-dvd would only work on some 360s, just as games using the hard drive would only work on some 360s.

That's all that is being said here, and it's a valid criticism. Maybe MS wouldn't allow game use of the HD DVD as they don't with the add-on, but I think they would have to in a couple of years.

Re:Good (1)

BlueParrot (965239) | more than 6 years ago | (#21109859)

... and as we all know Microsoft is the kind of company that would NEVER piss of their customers by forcing them to upgrade their systems...

What a load of FUD (1)

hudsonhawk (148194) | more than 6 years ago | (#21114479)

Why would MS ever splinter their user base by allowing games to come out in HD-DVD? It makes no business sense whatsoever and will never happen.

This model would be sold to home theater enthusiasts as an all-in-one solution for HD, gaming and downloadable content. Suggesting that the HD-DVD drive would be used for gaming is FUD plain and simple.

Re:Good (1)

rtechie (244489) | more than 6 years ago | (#21116785)

The HiDef TV market is currently locked into Encrypted QAM in North America and the only way to bypass the "rent/buy box from provider" is to use a cablecard decoder which is very broken and restricted to 'certified' hardware.
I can tell you for an absolute fact that the cable providers are willing to certify the Microsoft hardware. CableCARD 2.0 certified tuners are out there, but the cable companies want to certify whole PCs, not individual tuner cards, so they are unlikely to be widely available for sale. Of course, a "360 PVR" would be an entire PC, so it would qualify. This project may never materialize, but I know that MS is already testing the tuners, so that's definitely not the sticking point. The big problem is cost. MS apparently wants to charge between $600-700 for this thing, and I don't think the market will bear that.

There may be some channels broadcasted over the air unencrypted but you can be damn sure that all cable companies will switch to encrypted sooner or later, and at their whim.
Most of the cable companies that started out encrypting everything soon stopped because it was stupid. The issue was between "basic" digital cable (CNN and a handful of other channels) and "extended basic" which included basically all the non-premium cable channels. The lion's share of the non-premium channels had to be encrypted so the "basic" people couldn't "steal" them. The solution was to convince cable regulators to let the cable companies eliminate "basic" digital cable altogether (since they weren't making much money off those people anyway). And this is exactly what most of them have done. You can only get analog "basic" cable, and they're going to eliminate that as well.

The cable companies certainly don't WANT to encrypt channels they don't have to because that eats up CPU time on both ends, meaning they have to buy more expensive boxes. Most cable providers now transmit everything but premium channels "in the clear".

Call me back when there are open(non-private-key-encumbered) pervasive standards
This will never, ever happen. And personally, I would be against it. I want cable and satellite providers to be able to provide commercial-free channels like HBO, and encryption is necessary for that. The problem here is that there isn't an ENCRYPTION STANDARD. Unfortunately, I don't think there's a way to MAKE the cable and satellites come up with a reasonable standard, even though it would benefit both of them. They still seem to think they'll make more money licensing and selling proprietary hardware. :-(

Re:Good (1)

demon (1039) | more than 6 years ago | (#21119477)

The cable companies certainly don't WANT to encrypt channels they don't have to because that eats up CPU time on both ends, meaning they have to buy more expensive boxes. Most cable providers now transmit everything but premium channels "in the clear".

Wrong. So, so very wrong. Do you have anything with a straight-up QAM (non-CableCARD-equipped) tuner? I tried getting clear QAM channels; my cable provider had almost nothing in the clear (local Fox affiliate, IFC, History Channel International, and Music Choice channels), certainly nothing too interesting other than the local Fox affiliate in HD. Most of the headend gear handles this all for them, and they go with whatever the defaults are - which are (generally) encrypt everything. Their tiering systems wouldn't work very well if they didn't - they'd have to just let anyone with a QAM tuner get a bunch of stuff. They don't want to do that.

Re:Good (1)

rtechie (244489) | more than 6 years ago | (#21122341)

Most of the headend gear handles this all for them, and they go with whatever the defaults are - which are (generally) encrypt everything. Their tiering systems wouldn't work very well if they didn't - they'd have to just let anyone with a QAM tuner get a bunch of stuff. They don't want to do that.
This is what I was talking about in my earlier post. Initially, most cable providers used the "default" which was to encrypt anything because, basically, that's how the boxes shipped. They then began to pare this down because of performance problems. In some markets they've eliminated the encryption on everything but premium because they've eliminated the tiering altogether. Your choices are:

1. Analog basic cable.
2. All digital commercial, non-premium channels.
3. All digital commercial, non-premium channels + digital premium channels.

That's it.

Out Q1 2008 (2, Insightful)

Anonymous Coward | more than 6 years ago | (#21105995)

Actually the rumor I heard is that the new "XBox HD" is due out during the first quarter of 2008.

The only reason they are denying the rumors right now, is to help unload existing inventory during the Holiday Season.

If I was looking at an XBox 360 though, I'd wait till after the Holiday Season for the new unit to be released.

Re:Out Q1 2008 (2)

KEnderK (1171753) | more than 6 years ago | (#21106187)

It'd be pointless waiting until after the holiday season to get one. By the time you've bought the [expected] new SKU, another new one will be on the horizon. Microsoft really does have to straighten out how many different models they have. Drop the core and arcade completely, lower the price on the premium, and kick the elite down a notch. Forget all of this 'lol no hard drive 4 u' crap.

PVR, not HD-DVD (3, Interesting)

rtechie (244489) | more than 6 years ago | (#21106183)

The rumor is that there will be a new bundle priced higher than the Elite (probably around $600) that will include a larger hard drive (I'm told 200 GB), a Cablecard-ready TV tuner, bundled Media Remote, and possibly a DVD recorder (don't hold your breath for that last one). No HD-DVD, though it's supposed to be an HD-capable PVR that records up to 720p.

So... what's the deal? (3, Insightful)

SailorSpork (1080153) | more than 6 years ago | (#21107539)

It appears to the untrained, novice outside observer that M$ is making the same mistakes with the 360 that they did with Vista (at least, one of the mistakes they made with Vista)... there are so many versions that the average consumer doesn't know what's what. 8 versions of Vista, and now 360 Core, 360 Pro, 360 Elite, 360 Arcade, optional add-on HD-DVD, and coming soon: HD Tuner version!

I certainly hope for M$'s sake that they don't release yet another type of 360. A pile of market confusion is just what Sony needs to... um... wedge in? Have to give Sony credit for finally getting some decent games out, even if the library lack's it's "Halo 3"-esque brand of killer app...

Only two Xbox Models. (1)

Lemental (719730) | more than 6 years ago | (#21116317)

There are still only 2 main Xbox Models that are being actively manufactured. The Pro (former Premium) and the Arcade (Core). All the other models (Elite,Halo3) were limited runs. AFAIK, Sony also will be having 2 models, the 80 Gig Backwards compat, and the 40 gig non Backwards compat.

Re:Only two Xbox Models. (1)

Doc Lazarus (1081525) | more than 6 years ago | (#21117393)

The only good news I see here is that I might be able to score a bigger hard drive for my 360 soon and not spend an obscene amount of money on it. Bring down the prices! I need some gigs for my demos!

Bunch of crap (1)

tripmine (1160123) | more than 6 years ago | (#21108921)

I knew it was a bunch of crap the first time [slashdot.org]
C'mon HDTV tuners? On a 360? I would maybe believe this if Microsoft didn't already have [microsoft.com] a product that does exactly what this "new" SKU would do.

Kick'em [Sony] while they're down... (2)

WoTG (610710) | more than 6 years ago | (#21109183)

I think this'll happen. Sony has placed a very large bet on the PS3 and BluRay, IMHO, they've bet the company by tying both products together. It would be in Microsoft's best interests to do as much damage to Sony as possible so that in the next round of the console wars, Microsoft will have more of an advantage.

So far in this console generation, MS was able to come out a year earlier, partly because waiting for BluRay delayed the PS3. Then, for a long time, the XBox external HD-DVD drive was the cheapest hi-def DVD player around, although, you need to attach it to something, i.e. a PC or a 360.

Now that HD-DVD drives are relatively cheap, MS can produce an XBox360+ with HD+DVD. It might be just enough to make HD-DVD the winner, and BluRay the looser. And knock a couple billion dollars of BluRay and PS3 revenues out of Sony's pockets.

If MS is willing to spend $240 million to win the advertising gig on Facebook so that Google doesn't get that contract, then MS including an HD DVD drive to give Sony a kick in the shins is definitely in the cards.

That's my CAD 0.02, anyway.

Re:Kick'em [Sony] while they're down... (1)

MikeBabcock (65886) | more than 6 years ago | (#21114911)

You know you still won't get to fit more than 9GiB on a game disc right? Microsoft won't upgrade to HD-DVDs for game discs because that would require replacing ALL the existing 360's on the market.

To be fair, at their current failure rate, that might not take so long after all.

PS you realize Sony already has distribution deals in Asia for HD TV content, and an HD-capable DVR device for Europe in the works right? Sony's ahead of the game in the technology world, not behind. Microsoft just got their product out first and has deeper pockets to lose cash on bad hardware.

Go look up how much Microsoft has lost on the XBox project so far (since the beginning), and tell me that they've done the right thing for their investors by continuing this charade.

Well when you really look at it... (0, Troll)

Stovecore (1179283) | more than 6 years ago | (#21109559)

Once I got my 360 to boot using Linux, life has never really been the same!

Another market gifted to MS (-1, Flamebait)

SalaciousPucker (911419) | more than 6 years ago | (#21110601)

First off....Microsoft really could care less about HD-DVD or BluRay. Sony is the one living in the past here, hoping for the second coming of the DVD. Microsoft supports HD-DVD, but knows the future is digital and has no big stake in either format.

When will you see HD-DVD'ed 360's? When Microsoft can release it without scaring more than 1% of their target market for the low end models. Why?

The strength of Microsoft's position w/ the 360 is that they can compete on all ends of the market. They have the 'Arcade' 360, with the price of the Wii, the power of the PS3 and the best game lineup on the market. They also have their top line product, as powerful as the PS3 and priced less than its low end model (after the price drop coming in a few weeks). Would they sacrifice this to let some developer publish on a HD-DVD disk? Not going to happen.

Note something about why the PS3 is damned to failure....Sony sold over 100 million PS2 systems. The problem is that 90% of those were sold at under $200. When will the PS3 reach $200 at a break even point? Never.

Now, some reality on the Wii....its attach rate sucks. The fact is that the system is selling to fans of Nintendo, just like their previous consoles. This isn't a revolution, it's a fad. 3rd party support isn't based on the potential, but rather the ease of porting an old game or game engine to a 'new' (old) machine.

So what does this mean? The Wii is a underpowered niche-fad with an attach rate that proves its market is the Nintendo fanbase alone, just like the Gamecube. Sony has squandered dominance to shill launch day obsolescence, in search of past glories, with a new disk format that nobody wants. Microsoft is gifted another market to lead, by giving what the market wants.

People will disagree with me. Tell me I'm wrong in 3 months, and again in 6 months. You'll see, and trust me I'm no happier than you are.

Re:Another market gifted to MS (-1, Troll)

Anonymous Coward | more than 6 years ago | (#21111451)

Armchair veterans... So smug! So cute! So... Virgin.
We'll give ya news when we feel like it. Keep fighting that war o' yours, my good zealot friend!

Re:Another market gifted to MS (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 6 years ago | (#21116813)

spoken like a true MS fanboy. I wouldn't go so far as to say you're wrong about Sony, but making the Wii claims you do really speaks to the magnitude of your hardon for all things XBox. Sales speak for themselves. It's been almost a year since launch and, at least in my town, it's still not easy to get a hold of one. By creating the Wii as an innovative console with a low price tag and an emphasis on fun rather than the absolute best graphics on the market, it has attracted a much wider audience than your standard hardcore gamer who has no qualms about dropping five or six hundred bucks on a console.

The Wii is selling to more than just Nintendo loyalists, it's selling to people who don't even traditionally play video games at all.

Re:Another market gifted to MS (0)

Anonymous Coward | more than 6 years ago | (#21117411)

Yes, but his point about the attach rate being low (if it is), points to it being a fad, rather than a sustaining market.

If people are buying the Wii and maybe a game and thats IT, then even if there is a huge potential market, a lot of developers will pass, since its a market that hasn't shown any desire to actually buy more games.

Yeah, its still a win for Nintendo (especially since they are making money on every unit sold), but their current leadership position could evaporate within six months if something else fills in the "must have" FAD this year.
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